Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 11.838919 13.245801 14.767274 16.537218 18.542485 20.747115 23.359007
2025-05-18 9.613823 11.466612 13.614645 16.297786 19.571856 23.452507 28.423405
2025-05-25 7.989657 10.077996 12.651995 16.077798 20.547522 26.221821 34.035233
2025-06-01 6.785672 9.002066 11.889719 15.962979 21.617377 29.272304 40.561435
2025-06-08 5.864118 8.144393 11.269674 15.921059 22.762136 32.601815 48.093864
2025-06-15 5.281036 7.655790 11.069243 16.414713 24.723952 37.396255 58.667179
2025-06-22 4.640002 6.988158 10.510164 16.284758 25.724757 40.917571 67.982262
2025-06-29 4.053115 6.317945 9.848429 15.884591 26.220140 43.705929 76.642037
2025-07-06 3.604993 5.802348 9.353264 15.668638 26.968161 47.019842 86.879553
2025-07-13 3.356349 5.575677 9.292361 16.167920 29.025326 52.972492 103.273220
2025-07-20 3.139688 5.373007 9.241081 16.669178 31.159199 59.435370 122.102484
2025-07-27 2.904852 5.108040 9.043581 16.866717 32.738826 65.095292 140.537985
2025-08-03 2.620928 4.727579 8.601463 16.557550 33.314234 68.934504 156.163366
2025-08-10 2.379167 4.397016 8.212123 16.297691 33.955095 73.054623 173.539214
2025-08-17 2.170121 4.104516 7.860156 16.063617 34.616262 77.362374 192.544727
2025-08-24 1.997245 3.862859 7.579213 15.938964 35.503883 82.381524 214.782382
2025-08-31 1.851107 3.658163 7.348421 15.890056 36.561392 88.034351 240.362120
2025-09-07 1.767524 3.572324 7.354986 16.377461 38.999319 97.685372 280.283914
2025-09-14 1.640467 3.380575 7.110773 16.244165 39.865926 103.401663 310.101844
2025-09-21 1.506123 3.158809 6.774821 15.842551 39.970888 107.067364 334.576712
2025-09-28 1.398960 2.985566 6.528134 15.625444 40.531073 112.149449 365.396367
2025-10-05 1.349341 2.936256 6.561001 16.121902 43.153062 123.906046 423.534682
2025-10-12 1.302779 2.888881 6.592663 16.620627 45.881968 136.651841 489.979807